Amit Segal slams: Election results make a mockery of polls
Channel 12 analyst Amit Segal criticizes pollsters for 'years' of inaccurate polling, says no statistical explanation for discrepancies.
Channel 12 analyst Amit Segal criticizes pollsters for 'years' of inaccurate polling, says no statistical explanation for discrepancies.

A JPPI survey reveals that 57% of American Jews with ties to Israel prefer an opposition victory in the Knesset elections, compared to 15% who support the coalition.

Channel 12 poll gives anti-Netanyahu bloc 70 Knesset seats, but only 56 without Arab parties, as bloc's voters largely prefer minority government relying on United Arab List for support.

Final television polls ahead of Tuesday’s elections show Eisenkot's Yashar party leading Likud, while neither Netanyahu's bloc nor the opposition reaches 61 seats.

The final Maariv poll before the elections shows a six-seat lead for the anti-Netanyahu bloc. The Amcha Yisrael party fails to cross the electoral threshold.

Despite gains for the Religious Zionist Party-Zehut alliance, the right-wing bloc is losing ground in the final stretch before the elections.

One week before the elections, Channel 14 poll: Likud leads with 30 seats, Amcha Yisrael falls far below threshold.

New Walla! poll gives Eisenkot's Yashar 23 seats to Likud's 19, as Netanyahu's bloc falls to 48 seats and neither side secures a majority.

In two polls published Monday evening, the Arab parties reached record levels of support, significantly increasing their political strength.

Nine days before Israel's elections, three polls show differing results: Eisenkot leads in Kan 11's survey, while Likud tops the i24NEWS and Channel 14 polls.

Arutz Sheva's Election Barometer finds 65% of coalition voters expect Netanyahu to remain PM, while 48% of opposition voters predict a change.

New Maariv poll shows Likud losing two seats as Arab parties climb to combined 14, political blocs tie at 51 seats each.

The Reservists-Economic Party, led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha, wins four seats in two polls published this evening, while Amcha Yisrael Party, led by Ofer Winter, remains below the electoral threshold.

Although the poll puts Yashar in first place with 22 seats, the right-wing bloc leads Netanyahu’s opponents by three seats, securing a total of 53 mandates.

Nearly all Haredi and religious respondents attribute the rescue of passengers on the flight from Dubai to “Divine Providence," as do most traditional Jews.

According to the poll, 59% oppose including an Arab party in the coalition, while 53% support having a haredi party in the next government.

Channel 13 gives Netanyahu’s bloc 55 seats, while a separate Channel 14 poll gives the bloc 63 seats, with Likud leading at 31 in the latter survey.

A Channel 12 News poll gives Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael party just 1.5%. The coalition bloc wins 49 seats, compared with 54 for the opposition.

Amcha Yisrael falls below the threshold for the first time in a Kan News poll, leaving Eisenkot’s bloc with 52 seats to Netanyahu’s 51.

A new Datafolha poll puts Lula at 48% and Flavio Bolsonaro at 45% in a potential runoff, within the survey’s margin of error.

A new Fox News poll puts Democrat Abdul El-Sayed ahead of Republican Mike Rogers by one point among likely Michigan voters, 50%-49%.

Kan News poll gives Yashar 23 seats, Likud 21 and Bennett-Lapid 11, with both rival blocs tied at 52 seats just one month before Israel's elections.

An i24NEWS poll projects Otzma Yehudit winning 8 seats after Itamar Ben Gvir announced he would demand the Defense portfolio in the next government. The coalition reaches 60 seats.

A Channel 13 News poll shows Naftali Bennett’s Together party falling to a new low of 11 seats, while the Religious Zionist-Zehut alliance remains steady at six.

US President Donald Trump shares report highlighting a poll showing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc in lead, in notable show of support weeks before Israel’s elections.

Yashar! leads with 23 seats as Likud continues to slide, while Amcha Yisrael returns to the Knesset; right-wing bloc holds at 50 Knesset seats.

Likud loses another seat, falling to 18, while Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar remains in first place. Netanyahu’s coalition bloc rises to 54 seats, overtaking the Eisenkot bloc.

Channel 14 poll shows the right-wing bloc winning 64 seats, compared to 44 for the anti-Netanyahu bloc.

Channel 12 poll has Netanyahu and his rivals tied at 52 seats each, while Channel 14 gives the Prime Minister’s bloc a commanding 63 seats to 44.

Kan News poll puts Eisenkot’s Yashar first with 23 seats, while a potential union of Winter, Smotrich and Feiglin would win 11 seats.

Netanyahu bloc reaches its strongest showing since May as the Zionist opposition falls to 57 seats; Ofer Winter crosses the threshold with four.

New survey shows Likud holds commanding lead with 31 seats as 'Together' gains ground and Ofer Winter’s 'Amcha Yisrael' falls to just 2.7%.

Religious Zionism gains two seats after joining forces with Moshe Feiglin, while Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael falls from eight seats to five in i24News poll.

A Tzohar poll finds 72.5% of Israelis prefer to maintain the current level of Jewish, traditional and heritage studies or expand them, compared with just 18.1% who favor reducing them.

According to the poll, without a merger between the parties, Religious Zionism remains below the electoral threshold, while Ofer Winter’s party enters the Knesset in its place.

Kan News poll gives Ofir Winter’s new party four seats, while Netanyahu edges Bennett for premiership and neither political bloc reaches 61.

New Maariv poll gives Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar! 25 seats, while Ofer Winter's Amcha Yisrael crosses the threshold.

An i24NEWS poll conducted by Direct Polls gives Likud 26 seats and Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar 23. Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael wins eight seats.

Conflicting polls give Ofer Winter eight seats or leave him below the threshold, while Likud swings dramatically between 19 and 26 seats.

First poll since Ofer Winter launched Amacha Yisrael gives his party six seats, while Religious Zionism falls below the threshold and Netanyahu's bloc drops to 49.

New poll examines a scenario in which Ofer Winter’s party runs independently. In that scenario, the Religious Zionist Party fails to cross the electoral threshold and the right-wing bloc falls to 49 seats.

A new poll puts Gadi Eisenkot ahead of Likud, while the anti-Netanyahu bloc leads the right by six seats - and a new political contender could widen the gap.

Yashar! surges to 26 seats as Likud falls to 20, while the center-left bloc reaches 60 seats, just one short of a Knesset majority.

New Kantar poll gives Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar! party 24 seats, narrowly ahead of Likud, while Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc falls short of a majority.

Two polls published after the primaries place the Likud in first place with 31-32 seats, and Eisenkot’s party in second place with 24.

Fox News survey places Republican Mike Rogers ahead of anti-Israel Democrat Abdul El-Sayed 51% to 47% in Michigan's Senate contest.

A Mano Geva poll shows broad opposition to approving the ZIM deal amid the involvement of Qatari shareholders: 67.1% oppose the deal, just 2.4% support approve the deal despite involvement.

A new Direct Polls survey projects 30 Knesset seats for Likud and 23 for Gadi Eisenkot’s slate. The governing coalition reaches 59 seats, while the center-left bloc stands at 50.

57% of secular Israelis support religious presence in the public realm, provided it is not forced. Two-thirds of young Israelis view Judaism in a positive light.

A Channel 14 News poll gives the right-wing bloc some good news.

A new Kan 11 News poll reveals that all newly formed political parties are falling well short of the electoral threshold. Meanwhile, the Likud party sees a modest uptick in support.

New Maariv poll shows little movement in electoral map, with coalition remaining at 49 seats while the opposition maintains potential path to 61-seat majority.

An i24NEWS poll indicates that Naftali Bennett's "Together" party has lost another two seats. Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein's new party fails to cross the electoral threshold.

Over 72% of coalition voters want National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir to remain in office, Channel 14 poll reveals.

A new Channel 16 poll conducted by Prof. Yitzhak Katz projects 22 seats for Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party, while Otzma Yehudit climbs to 9 seats.

The "Israeli Voice Index" found that a majority of Israelis are concerned about the integrity of future elections and believe a Palestinian uprising in Judea and Samaria is a likely scenario.

A Channel 12 News poll shows a tie between Likud and Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party, with 23 seats each. Netanyahu's opponents maintain a majority of 70 seats.

Benett drops to 13 seats, Golan drops to eight, Ofer Winter and Erdan and Edelstein stay behind electoral threshold. Netanyahu and Eisenkot tied for lead.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that only one-in-three Americans support the war with Iran, while most say Trump has not clearly explained its goals.

Channel 12 News poll projects 23 seats for Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party, compared to 22 for Likud. For the first time, the "Zionist Home" party - led by Chili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel - passes the electoral threshold.
