A poll conducted by the Kantar Institute and aired Sunday evening on Kan 11 News indicates that if elections were held today, the Likud party would capture 24 seats, followed closely by Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar!" party with 23 seats, and the Bennett-Lapid "Together" alliance with 13.
The Democrats and Yisrael Beytenu secure 10 seats each, followed by Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and United Torah Judaism with 8 seats apiece. Ra'am garners 6 seats, while Hadash-Ta'al and Religious Zionism take 5 seats each.
The figures offer little encouragement for the newest political entrants or several long-standing factions. Blue and White, Balad, and the new political ventures launched by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein, as well as the faction headed by Chili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel, all fail to pass the electoral threshold in this poll.
Overall, the right-wing bloc commands 53 seats, while the anti-Netanyahu coalition stands at 56 seats, leaving the Arab-majority parties holding the remaining 11 seats in the middle.
The poll also examined a scenario in which Balad and Hadash-Ta'al run on a joint slate. Under that arrangement, the combined list would secure 8 seats, slightly weakening the totals of both major blocs.
However, analysts note that such a scenario would make it considerably harder for Gadi Eisenkot to assemble a governing coalition, as neither primary bloc considers a unified Arab slate a viable or acceptable coalition partner.