Dr. Avi Perry

Trump between a rock and a hard place

What outcome can save his presidency? Opinion.

Why Eurovision success matters so much to Israel

Eurovision in Israel is viewed through a much broader lens than music alone. Opinion.

Read and watch:

Iran understands America better than America understands Iran

Iran is not irrational within its own framework. The framework itself is fundamentally different from the assumptions guiding much of Western strategic thinking. And that is a grave danger. Opinion.

When gas prices today matter more than nuclear risk tomorrow

Strategic threats do not announce that they will eventually become irreversible. But by the time nuclear capability is fully realized, prevention is no longer an option. It must be dealt with now, even if gas priices go up for a while. Opinion.

The Illusion of Collapse:

Time, expectations, and the limits of a blockade

A naval blockade can create leverage against Iran, but only over time, while unrealistic expectations risk undermining the strategy itself. Analysis.

The fantasy of a ceasefire while Iran arms for war

If Israel stops-does Iran stop? Opinion.

The new face of disguised Jew-hatred

The most dangerous form of antisemitism is not the one that declares itself openly. It is the one that hides inside arguments that sound reasonable. Opinion.

Who Is Iran?

The Fatal Flaw behind Trump’s “negotiations"

There may no longer be a single, coherent entity that can be called “Iran" in the context of negotiations. Opinion.

“No Imminent Threat" Is the most dangerous phrase in US politics

Preventing catastrophe rarely looks reasonable in the present. It looks premature. It looks aggressive. It looks unpopular. Until the catastrophe arrives. Opinion.

What happens in Hormuz will not stay in Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz Is choking, And Europe Is looking away. Opinion.

When Party comes before Country in wartime

A basic principle that has been eroded in the USA: you do not cheer for your country’s failure simply because you dislike the president leading it. Opinion.

The Enemy From Within:

When preventing catastrophe becomes controversial

The catastrophes we prevent are invisible. The catastrophes we fail to prevent define history. Opinion.

Negotiating the Wrong Variable:

Why Iran’s missiles matter more than Its enrichment level

Deterrence rests not merely on possession, but on credible delivery. And modern missile defense systems, while advanced, are not impermeable. Opiniion.

Half-war is the most dangerous war:

Why a limited strike on Iran could be the worst possible choice

Germany and Japan did not surrender because they were warned or nudged toward moderation. They surrendered when they were strategically broken.Opinion.

Iran’s nuclear problem is really a succession problem

The Iran debate has been framed as a choice between a deal and a military attack. That is the wrong choice. Opinon.

Trump's strategic mistake in his otherwise strong presidency

Trump seems to assume Muslim leaders behave like rational cost-benefit actors. That assumption is his central mistake. He seems to have made that mistake with Iran and al-Jolani, tragically sacrificing the Iranian protestors and the Kurds. Opinion.

NATO under strain

How History, Geography, Energy, and the Middle East deepen internal divisions, and why disunity endangers liberal democracy. Opinion.

Analysis:

Greenland, NATO, Trump, and the return of great-power geography

Greenland’s importance to the US is not symbolic or speculative. It is structural. From a U.S. strategic perspective, Greenland is not a luxury. It is a keystone. Analysis.

To President Trump:

Why a limited strike on Iran Is the wrong tool - replace it

Regime change must be the objective. Military success without political dismantling produces cycles, not solutions.Opinion.

Emergency Press Conference

The Board of Piece (No. This is not a spelling error)

Summary" Thanks to the international community, social media, and mainstream media for ensuring that truth remains absent, responsibility remains optional, and the elephant (aka Hamas rearmament) remains unseen. For the undiluted protocol, read below.

Gaza’s Phase II Illusion:

Why it will never work

Enforcement, the single factor that determines whether Phase II exists at all, is treated as an afterthought, but naming Phase II without defining its mechanics is not leadership. And it will lead to war. Opinion.

When Israeli voices become Hamas’s sharpest weapons

Israelis know that externalizing internal dissent during war creates a strategic threat to the state. That lesson seems to be forgotten by those who should know it best. Ehud Olmert is the prime example. Opinion.

Was Trump's restraint the proper strategy with Mamdani?

Trump’s silence was strategic. He did not challenge Mamdani because he understands that if Mamdani is going to collapse under the weight of his own ideology, he must have no one else to blame. Opinion.

Dr. Avi Perry:

The downgraded F-35 going to the Saudis is still a threat

Israel is right to be wary of the Saudi F-35 deal for many reasons - read them below. Opinion.

Oslo 2.0:

The new Gaza “Peace Plan” risks repeating a historic disaster

Oslo did not fail because of bad intentions. It failed because it misunderstood the nature of the leadership it empowered. The new Gaza plan is on track to make the same mistake. Hamas must be eliminated. Opinion.

Mamdani’s Victory:

A boomerang waiting to strike the Democrats

The economic and political history of the twentieth century is a graveyard of movements that promised justice through equality and delivered only scarcity through control.

Iran’s strategic obsession-and how to stop Its comeback

Israel and its allies can ensure that Iran’s ambitions remain just that: ambitions. Opinion.

Trump’s Gamble in Gaza:

Betting on a dream that reality will break

Trump is not dreaming in the literal sense. He is betting. The difference is subtle but important. A dream is detached from reality; a bet at least acknowledges the odds. But this bet is so long that one could easily mistake it for a fantasy. Opinion.

The Language War:

How Hamas and Iran’s proxies deceive the West

This linguistic warfare is part of a coordinated psychological and political campaign to delegitimize Israel, erode its moral standing, and recast its self-defense as aggression. Opinion.

False flags, blood libels, and the October 7 attack

October 7 was not a false flag. It was a tragedy born of bias, blindness, and bureaucratic failure. Opinion.

Illusions of peace:

Strategic ambiguity in the new agreement

It is a milestone, but not necessarily a breakthrough. It hides more than it reveals, but no matter what, Israel must treat the agreement as a phase, not an end. Opinion.

Hamas’s response to Trump:

A clear “No” disguised as “Yes… but”

Hamas intends to stay, and Hamas intends to fight. Israel’s bottom line is crystal clear. Trump' good name is on the line if he ignores Israel's demands and falls into Hamas's trap. Opinion.

When fear meets envy:

Islamophobia vs. Antisemitism unmasked

The Muslim world can choose to emulate the Jewish path—investing in education, in inquiry, in building—or continue on the path of destruction. Opinion.

Sisi calls Israel an enemy:

Rhetoric, reality, and risk to regional stability

Al-Sisi’s words are not a declaration of war, but they are a warning. Opinion.

Europe’s favorite fantasy:

Building a Palestinian State (from IKEA parts)

Europe clings to this dream, although it makes no sense. Their hypocrisy is obvious and must be exposed. Opinion.

Spain’s Embargo on Israel:

A rotten meal with self-inflicted indigestion

Spain is not one of Israel’s arteries. It is, at best, a capillary. Opinion.

Analysis:

10 Myths & Facts about Israel post October 7, 2023

A must read: Learn the difference between lies spouted by the media and antisemites - and most important, learn the difference between us and them. Op-ed.

At any price! Really?

Think of the damage you cause by emboldening Hamas, whose demands grow bolder by the day as they watch your protests. Opinion.

Does winning the war depend on Fordow?

There is an additional, even more important, potentially long-term, and far more productive solution to ending the conflict with Iran once and for all. Opinion.

Is Trump buying the Iranian Deception?

Why an agreement between the U.S. and Iran may pose a greater danger than having no agreement at all. Opinion.

Trump is wrong. Iran is becoming nuclear

Iran's nuclear program exhibits concerning parallels with those of North Korea, India, Pakistan, and Israel, marked by a history of deception, but radically differing from them in its alarming rhetoric of genocidal threats against Israel. The risks posed by a nuclear-armed Iran significantly outweigh those of other nations. Op-ed.

Tariffs are the chips in a new Poker Game

While the current trade war may escalate in the short term, the fundamental economic dynamics give the U.S. an advantage, especially over China. Opinion.

The Insanity Pandemic

The extreme behaviors unfolding in the U.S., some insane and others also criminal, can serve as valuable lessons for Israeli society. Opinion.

Netanyahu versus Ronen Bar

The strained relationship between the two leaders undermines effective information sharing and the critical brainstorming needed for sound decision-making during Israel's ongoing war. Opinion

Does Hamas really have second thoughts about October 7?

Whether Abou Marzouk's words were or were not meant, there is a price WE should not be willing to pay. This price is measured in the lives of the soldiers who sacrificed everything to rescue those they aim to save. Opinion.

Trump’s Gaza—Out of the box, but into the beehive

Arab leaders today fear history might repeat itself in more ways than one if they take in Gaza residents. Opinion.

Drones over New Jersey

This mysterious phenomenon seems like a practical joke. But it also comes with an important lesson. Opinion.

Loose lips sink ships

This is war, and one of the most crucial strategic tools is the element of surprise. Be quiet and stop the constant irresponsible talks, diatribes, criticism and leaks! Stop helping and encouraging our enemies! Opinion.

Cutting the branch you are sitting on

Ministers' disagreements with the prime minister should be handled privately. It's crucial to show unity when going public to prevent adversaries from taking advantage. Opinion.

Sophie’s Choice all over again?

As the nation's leader, the Prime Minister must rely on objective judgment. He must consider, "How many lives is the life of one hostage worth?" Opinion.

Single move chess players

There are critical questions about the foresight and reasoning of those pushing for a ceasefire. Are they considering the probable outcomes of such a ceasefire, the near future post-ceasefire? Op-ed.

Will the Gaza war expand into a regional conflict?

The likelihood of a regional conflict is now greater than 50%. Op-ed.

Yes, they are ‘civilians’, but they are not innocent

When encountering Palestinian Arabs in Gaza, surveys show an 80%+ likelihood that they are terrorists, supporters, or sympathizers.Op-ed.

Mind games and hostages

Hamas manipulates our suffering, prolonging our painful anxiety for their sadistic pleasure. Why do we let them see our pain? Op-ed.

Did Trump stumble into this Persona-Non-Grata’s ploy?

Why would a black guy befriend a white supremacist? Even if the two share the same Jew hatred, there is a titanic chasm between them. Op-ed.

On student loan forgiveness

This writer has a great idea for Biden, one that will have him gain college student votes but will not cost him or us a penny. Op-ed.

What the Democrats do not realize is going to bite them

The Democrats are acting as if they will rule forever, but if elections bring change, they may get a taste their own bitter medicine. Op-ed.

Biden's misguided approach to Saudi Arabia

His tactless approach to MBS is matched by his illogical anti-fossil fuel decisions. Logic has no role to play. Op-ed.

Remove him, it’s an emergency

The present White House may be the most incompetent oneI have seen in my lifetime and US history, but now it is causing catastrophe. Op-ed.

Don't take the chance of giving Covid to your grandparents

The information I’m sharing here was not picked out off the internet or off a fake news site. I witnessed it. I was there. Op-ed.