Amine Ayoub

Amine Ayoub

Columnist

News by Amine Ayoub

Amine Ayoub:

The parallels between Morocco and Israel are impossible to ignore.

With the Western Sahara stalemate and Morocco-Algeria tensions, UN Momentum meets persistent proxy risks. Morocco, much like Israel, learned that yielding to international pressure or relying on endless peace processes only emboldens rejectionists. Op-ed.

The parallels between Morocco and Israel are impossible to ignore.

Egypt’s Regional Shakedown:

Gaza reconstruction and the fragile facade of the Sisi Regime

Sisi has long played a double game with Hamas. When he needs to look vital to Washington and Jerusalem, he acts as the stern mediator. When he wants to pressure Israel, the borders mysteriously become porous. Opinion.

Gaza reconstruction and the fragile facade of the Sisi Regime

The world ignored Somaliland for 35 years. Israel didn't.

A stable, Israel-friendly partner on that coastline does not merely represent a diplomatic trophy. It represents a security asset of genuine long-term importance. Op-ed.

The world ignored Somaliland for 35 years. Israel didn't.

The Iran war's biggest loser is Russia

The Iran campaign handed the United States something it spent decades trying to achieve through other means: a globally witnessed proof of concept that Russian air defense is penetrable, brittle

The Iran war's biggest loser is Russia

Israel can destroy Hamas and Hezbollah. Will it be allowed to?

What the critics who warn against "escalation" consistently fail to account for is that the alternative they are defending is not peace. It is a repeat performance.

Israel can destroy Hamas and Hezbollah. Will it be allowed to?

Iran is not starting a war. It's raising the price of Peace.

Talks must be formally suspended until Iran demonstrates, through action and not rhetoric, a willingness to operate in good faith. Opinion.

Iran is not starting a war. It's raising the price of Peace.

Strategic mastery:

Strategic mastery: Israel's measured response to Iranian aggression

Critics may occasionally misinterpret restraint as weakness. In reality, Israel's current posture reflects immense strength.Opinion.

Strategic mastery: Israel's measured response to Iranian aggression

Israel Under Fire:

Israel Under Fire: Iran's missile barrage shatters fragile calm as proxies test the limits

Context is essential: Israel strikes back. Its actions arise from survival imperatives after years of rockets, tunnels, and massacres, not from unprovoked aggression. Opinion.

Israel Under Fire: Iran's missile barrage shatters fragile calm as proxies test the limits

Iran shoots at American destroyers, talks continue anyway

Iran's message to Washington was unambiguous: we can hurt you, but we are choosing not to, and that choice should be compensated with concessions at the negotiating table, and with Trump telling Israel to ignore rockets from Lebanon and missiles from Iran. Opinion.

Iran shoots at American destroyers, talks continue anyway

The Lebanon Ceasefire was never meant to hold

By delivering a ceasefire on paper while Hezbollah's actual behavior guarantees its collapse, Israel and Washington have handed Tehran a paper concession that costs nothing real. Opinion.

The Lebanon Ceasefire was never meant to hold

Congress just handed Iran its most valuable weapon of the war

Iran's generals were watching. They are already acting accordingly. Four Republicans broke with their own president in wartime to side with a Democratic-led measure that Tehran's state media will now replay on a loop. Opinion.

Congress just handed Iran its most valuable weapon of the war

Rescuing Hezbollah:

Rescuing Hezbollah: Inside France's panic over Israel's deepening incursion

France's panic tells us less about humanitarian principle than about the enduring European compulsion to rescue failing actors from the consequences of their own aggression, particularly when Israel is the one delivering them.

Rescuing Hezbollah: Inside France's panic over Israel's deepening incursion

Israel just crossed a Red Line in Lebanon nobody noticed

Hezbollah's capacity to threaten northern Israel from southern Lebanon depends entirely on its ability to control and transit terrain up to the Zahrani River and ending that is the IDF objective. Opinion.

Israel just crossed a Red Line in Lebanon nobody noticed

The Litani is no longer the frontier

Why Israel's security now starts at the Strait of Hormuz. Opinion.

The Litani is no longer the frontier

The Global Sumud Flotilla:

Dismantling the Islamist maritime lawfare machine

By conventional military metrics, Israel prevailed completely. By the metrics that the flotilla's architects actually care about, the results are more complicated. Opinion.

Dismantling the Islamist maritime lawfare machine

Iran's Empty Cradles:

Iran's Empty Cradles: Why Washington must not rescue a dying regime

The regime will not be negotiated out of existence, but America must not resuscitate it, because it can be outlasted. The empty cradles of Tehran are the most honest evidence available that outlasting it is an achievable strategy. Opinion.

Iran's Empty Cradles: Why Washington must not rescue a dying regime

Tehran's assassins

Why Germany's indictments demand a hardline transatlantic response. Opinion.

Tehran's assassins

Lebanon's Fractured Minorities:

Why Israeli security architecture works better than UN buffers

The choice is between Israeli security architecture and a reconstituted Hezbollah. UNIFIL is not a factor. Opinion.

Why Israeli security architecture works better than UN buffers

Disaster ahead?

Iran didn't just close the Strait. Now it wants to own the Internet

In 1973, the weapon was oil. In 2026, Tehran is reaching for the internet. An IRGC with supervisory authority over data flowing between Abu Dhabi and Tel Aviv under Hormuz is not a hypothetical threat. It is a strategic catastrophe waiting to materialize. Opinion.

Iran didn't just close the Strait. Now it wants to own the Internet

Regime Survival vs. Civilizational Reckoning:

The Jewish imperative for unapologetic support of Iran's true opposition

Iran is a young country with a highly educated population whose professional and civic ambitions have been systematically crushed by a regime that views indigenous talent as a threat to be managed rather than a resource to be cultivated. This is an opportunity not to be missed. Opinion.

The Jewish imperative for unapologetic support of Iran's true opposition

Sovereignty as a Weapon:

Sovereignty as a Weapon: Iran's maritime lawfare and the flotilla farce

Iran cannot currently launch a missile campaign, but it can demand international vessels file paperwork. Hamas cannot currently rocket Tel Aviv, but it can sail toward a blockaded coast and let the cameras do the rest. Opinion.

Sovereignty as a Weapon: Iran's maritime lawfare and the flotilla farce

Israel helped Egypt arm the Sinai. Now those guns are pointed the wrong way.

What should alarm anyone who remembers the years before October 7 is not that the buildup is happening. It is how Israel is processing it. Opinion.

Israel helped Egypt arm the Sinai. Now those guns are pointed the wrong way.

The Hiram Alliance:

The Hiram Alliance: Why Lebanon's break from Iran is Israel's north's only hope

When Israeli and Lebanese delegations sit down in Washington on May 14 and 15, they will not be creating something new. They will be attempting to recover something very old: the idea that the Lebanese state is capable of acting in its own interest. Opinion.

The Hiram Alliance: Why Lebanon's break from Iran is Israel's north's only hope

Don't let Putin guard the uranium!

Why Russia must be kept out of the Iran nuclear endgame. Opinion.

Don't let Putin guard the uranium!

The UAE just quit OPEC. The US and Israel should be paying attention

Cartel membership came with Arab political expectations. Independence from it comes with Arab political freedom.

The UAE just quit OPEC. The US and Israel should be paying attention

Bahrain's citizenship purge exposes Iran's most dangerous weapon

Bahrain is battling the network of citizens, residents, and IRGC-cultivated operatives embedded inside Bahraini society who passed targeting intelligence to Tehran while the attacks were still ongoing. Iran has spent decades cultivating this 5th column - and not just in Bahrain. Op-ed.

Bahrain's citizenship purge exposes Iran's most dangerous weapon

Pakistan has no incentive to close this Deal

A successfully concluded, permanent deal ends the lucrative Saudi bailouts, American military contracts, high profile presidential phone calls - and Pakistan was never bombed so it feels no urgency. Opinion.

Pakistan has no incentive to close this Deal

Turkey's economic takeover of Syria has already begun

What is unfolding is the systematic embedding of Turkish institutional infrastructure into Syrian economic life at a moment when Damascus is too weak, too dependent, and too ideologically aligned with Ankara to resist. Opinion.

Turkey's economic takeover of Syria has already begun

U.S. Exit from Syria’s Qasrak Base:

U.S. Exit from Syria’s Qasrak Base: A gift to ISIS or a green light for Turkish expansion?

However you look at it, the reality on the ground suggests a volatile outcome. Opinion.

U.S. Exit from Syria’s Qasrak Base: A gift to ISIS or a green light for Turkish expansion?

Beyond the Buffer:

Beyond the Buffer: Why South Lebanon demands a new strategic logic

An adversary that does not accept the permanence of the opposing state does not experience a ceasefire as a settlement. It experiences it as a reloading interval. Israel must act in accordance with that unpleasant truth. Opinion.

Beyond the Buffer: Why South Lebanon demands a new strategic logic

Strategic Drift:

The danger of inconsistent American messaging on Iran

What is missing, and what Israel's own experience of deterrence theory makes painfully legible, is a victory doctrine. Opinion.

The danger of inconsistent American messaging on Iran

The Homs Tunnels and the myth of Syrian neutrality

Western reconstruction funds and diplomatic recognition must not precede verifiable proof that Iranian smuggling networks have been permanently dismantled. The proclaimed neutrality of Ahmed al-Sharaa is a diplomatic posture, not an operational reality. Opinion.

The Homs Tunnels and the myth of Syrian neutrality

Turkey’s Final Descent Into Autocracy:

Erdogan's digital Iron Curtain

With its new ruling, Turkey can be called 'a consolidated autocracy utilizing 21st-century technology to enforce a level of societal control reminiscent of medieval absolutism.' Opinion.

Erdogan's digital Iron Curtain

Another reason to fight to the finish:

The Iran and Sudan Connection: A new Empire crosses the Red Sea

Iran is great at turning battlefields into bases for its ideology, and Sudan's military culture is soaking this up. If no one stops them, they will control the Red Sea and Khartoum will host permanent Iranian drone teams, electronic spying stations, and naval advisors reaching deep into Africa's interior.

The Iran and Sudan Connection: A new Empire crosses the Red Sea

Sisi’s High-Wire Act:

Sisi’s High-Wire Act: Can Egypt survive a victorious Israel and a weakened Iran?

Egypt faces a classic lose-lose proposition. And once the indispensable Arab mediator, Cairo now watches its traditional leverage erode. What will it do? Opinion.

Sisi’s High-Wire Act: Can Egypt survive a victorious Israel and a weakened Iran?

The Strait of Trump:

The Strait of Trump: A strategic imperative for Israel and the Free World

The US must counter Iran’s brazen plan to impose a permanent Hormuz Toll, extorting millions from every commercial vessel seeking safe passage through the Persian Gulf. Opinion.

The Strait of Trump: A strategic imperative for Israel and the Free World

From Neutrality to Necessity:

From Neutrality to Necessity: The Gulf’s "Turning Point" must cement a Middle East NATO

The Abraham Accords laid the economic and diplomatic groundwork, but the crucible of the current war has forged the true alliance, as Iran attacks GCC states. Opinion.

From Neutrality to Necessity: The Gulf’s "Turning Point" must cement a Middle East NATO

Iran's Succession Void:

Mojtaba Khamenei’s public silence is the Coalition’s greatest tactical opening

The primary, overarching target is the regime’s very claim to absolute authority. The coalition’s most potent tactical opening lies precisely in the exploitation of this glaring succession void. Opinion.

Mojtaba Khamenei’s public silence is the Coalition’s greatest tactical opening

The Rafah Gamble:

Reopening the Egypt-Gaza border during the Iran War is a high-stakes security test

By reopening Rafah now, Israel risks providing the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) with a logistical reset button. Opinion.

Reopening the Egypt-Gaza border during the Iran War is a high-stakes security test

The Salalah Port Attack:

The Salalah Port Attack: Alienating Oman and dooming the Resistance Axis

Iran shattered the carefully cultivated myth of Omani exceptionalism, the one diplomatic card Tehran played for decades to shield itself from total Gulf isolation. Opinion.

The Salalah Port Attack: Alienating Oman and dooming the Resistance Axis