A pair of new polls released Sunday evening show the parties allied with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would lose seats if new elections were held today, with one poll predicting the left-wing – Arab bloc would win an absolute majority in the Knesset.
The first poll, conducted by Project Midgam and published by Channel 13, found that if new elections were held today, the relative strengths of the Coalition and the Opposition would be reversed, with the parties in the current coalition government falling from a combined 64 seats to 56 seats, while the left-wing – Arab bloc, along with the Yisrael Beytenu party, would win a total of 64 seats, up from 56 in the current Knesset.
The Likud, which won 32 seats in the November 2022 election, would remain the Knesset’s largest faction with 28 seats, though its lead over Yesh Atid would be reduced dramatically. Yesh Atid is projected to receive 27 seats in the poll, up from 26 currently.
The National Unity party of Benny Gantz received 14 seats in the poll, followed by the rightist Religious Zionist Party – Otzma Yehudit alliance with 12 seats, and Shas with nine.
United Torah Judaism received seven seats in the poll, with Yisrael Beytenu, Labor, and the United Arab List (Ra’am) polling at six seats each.
The joint list of Hadash and Ta’al received five seats, while Balad and Meretz both failed to cross the 3.25% electoral threshold.
A second poll, conducted by Direct Polls on behalf of Channel 14, shows the current coalition government retaining its majority in the Knesset, albeit by a narrower margin, with 62 seats, compared to its current 64.
The Likud retains all of its 32 seats, according to the poll, while Yesh Atid falls to 22 mandates, followed by National Unity with 15 and Shas with 11.
The Religious Zionist Party and Otzma Yehudit received six seats apiece, while Yisrael Beytenu and United Torah Judaism polled at seven each.
The United Arab List (Ra’am) and Hadash-Ta’al received five seats each, with Meretz barely clearing the electoral threshold with four. Labor failed to receive the 3.25% minimum.