
A new poll published Friday morning indicated that if elections were held today, the Likud party would drop to three seats, reaching its lowest number since 2025.
The Maariv poll showed that the Likud would win just 22 seats, its lowest result since August 2025, when a Maariv poll gave it 21 seats.
According to Friday's poll, the Likud would be largest in the Knesset with 22 seats, followed by the "Together" party with 21 seats and "Yashar!" with 20 seats.
In fourth place are the Democrats with 10 seats, while Yisrael Beytenu and Otzma Yehudit win nine seats each.
Sephardic-haredi Shas would win eight seats, Ashkenazic-haredi United Torah Judaism (UTJ) would win seven, and the Arab Hadash-Ta'al party would win six.
Smallest in the Knesset would be Religious Zionism and the United Arab List (Ra'am), with four seats each.
Blue and White (1.9%), the Arab Balad party (2%), and the Reservists (1.7%) would all fail to pass the electoral threshold.
Divided into blocs, the coalition parties would win 50 seats, while the center-left bloc would win 60 seats. The Arab parties, which traditionally do not join any coalition, would hold the remaining 10 seats.
Meanwhile, a Channel 14 poll by Shlomo Filber and NEXT DATA showed the Likud winning 33 seats, one more than their previous poll last week. The poll gave Yashar! a total of 16 seats, and "Together" 13 - one less than the party received last week.
Filber's poll gave Shas 10 seats, the Democrats nine, and eight each to Otzma Yehudit and Yisrael Beytenu. UTJ polled at seven seats, Hadash-Ta'al at six, and Ra'am and Religious Zionism at five seats each.
If the poll is accurate, the current coalition parties would win 63 Knesset seats, while the center-left would win 46 seats; the Arab parties would hold the remaining 11 seats.
