Amine Ayoub

The UAE just quit OPEC. US and Israel should be paying attention

Cartel membership came with Arab political expectations. Independence from it comes with Arab political freedom.

Bahrain's citizenship purge exposes Iran's most dangerous weapon

Bahrain is battling the network of citizens, residents, and IRGC-cultivated operatives embedded inside Bahraini society who passed targeting intelligence to Tehran while the attacks were still ongoing. Iran has spent decades cultivating this 5th column - and not just in Bahrain. Op-ed.

Pakistan has no incentive to close this Deal

A successfully concluded, permanent deal ends the lucrative Saudi bailouts, American military contracts, high profile presidential phone calls - and Pakistan was never bombed so it feels no urgency. Opinion.

Turkey's economic takeover of Syria has already begun

What is unfolding is the systematic embedding of Turkish institutional infrastructure into Syrian economic life at a moment when Damascus is too weak, too dependent, and too ideologically aligned with Ankara to resist. Opinion.

U.S. Exit from Syria’s Qasrak Base:

A gift to ISIS or a green light for Turkish expansion?

However you look at it, the reality on the ground suggests a volatile outcome. Opinion.

Beyond the Buffer:

Why South Lebanon demands a new strategic logic

An adversary that does not accept the permanence of the opposing state does not experience a ceasefire as a settlement. It experiences it as a reloading interval. Israel must act in accordance with that unpleasant truth. Opinion.

Strategic Drift:

The danger of inconsistent American messaging on Iran

What is missing, and what Israel's own experience of deterrence theory makes painfully legible, is a victory doctrine. Opinion.

The Homs Tunnels and the myth of Syrian neutrality

Western reconstruction funds and diplomatic recognition must not precede verifiable proof that Iranian smuggling networks have been permanently dismantled. The proclaimed neutrality of Ahmed al-Sharaa is a diplomatic posture, not an operational reality. Opinion.

Turkey’s Final Descent Into Autocracy:

Erdogan's digital Iron Curtain

With its new ruling, Turkey can be called 'a consolidated autocracy utilizing 21st-century technology to enforce a level of societal control reminiscent of medieval absolutism.' Opinion.

Another reason to fight to the finish:

The Iran and Sudan Connection: A new Empire crosses the Red Sea

Iran is great at turning battlefields into bases for its ideology, and Sudan's military culture is soaking this up. If no one stops them, they will control the Red Sea and Khartoum will host permanent Iranian drone teams, electronic spying stations, and naval advisors reaching deep into Africa's interior.

Sisi’s High-Wire Act:

Can Egypt survive a victorious Israel and a weakened Iran?

Egypt faces a classic lose-lose proposition. And once the indispensable Arab mediator, Cairo now watches its traditional leverage erode. What will it do? Opinion.

The Strait of Trump:

A strategic imperative for Israel and the Free World

The US must counter Iran’s brazen plan to impose a permanent Hormuz Toll, extorting millions from every commercial vessel seeking safe passage through the Persian Gulf. Opinion.

From Neutrality to Necessity:

The Gulf’s "Turning Point" must cement a Middle East NATO

The Abraham Accords laid the economic and diplomatic groundwork, but the crucible of the current war has forged the true alliance, as Iran attacks GCC states. Opinion.

Iran's Succession Void:

Mojtaba Khamenei’s public silence is the Coalition’s opportunity

The primary, overarching target is the regime’s very claim to absolute authority. The coalition’s most potent tactical opening lies precisely in the exploitation of this glaring succession void. Opinion.

The Salalah Port Attack:

Alienating Oman and dooming the Resistance Axis

Iran shattered the carefully cultivated myth of Omani exceptionalism, the one diplomatic card Tehran played for decades to shield itself from total Gulf isolation. Opinion.

The EastMed Trap:

The Cairo-Ankara rapprochement threatens Israeli energy security

While Israel and the US are concentrating on Iran, a Turkish-Egyptian earthquake is about to erupt that may put the crucial EastMed Gas Forum at risk. Opinion.

Sudan’s Terror Fusion:

The Iran-Brotherhood Nexus and global threat to energy security

Do you know that for three decades the Brotherhood governed Sudan through the National Congress Party? It hosted Osama bin Laden from 1991 to 1996, constructed Sudan’s military-industrial complex with Iranian assistance, and exported jihadist ideology across Africa. It now chokes oil transport at Bab el-Mandeb. Op-ed.

Qatar’s shield is broken:

Israel’s window to bankrupt Hamas permanently

Tehran, perhaps unintentionally, has permanently dismantled the illusion of Qatari diplomatic immunity. The era of tolerating Qatari two-faced hypocrisy should end forthwith. Opinion.

Iran Is killing Saudis while MBS begs it to stop

MBS is paralyzed. When will he realize that the only way out is immediate normalization with Israel instead of his continued groveling to Iran? Opinion.

From Gaza Bribes to Sahel Bullets:

The Islamist adapt-or-die strategy after Iran’s defeat

We may decapitate the Islamic Jihad sponsor, but its franchises are improvising in Gaza and the Sahel. The IRGC may be reeling, but its ideology is entrepreneurial and the West's response must be immediate, surgical and relentless. Opinion.

Subsidizing Slaughter:

Why the PA is the greatest obstacle to regional peace

Western funds intended for civic institution-building are actively being manipulated to sustain a massive, hidden infrastructure that financially rewards past and present terror attacks. Op-ed.

Mojtaba Khamenei’s “Election" Changes Nothing:

The campaign to end the Islamic Republic must accelerate

Mojtaba’s elevation changes nothing about the regime’s nature. It simply reveals its weakness. Opinion.

Turkey removes its mask:

NATO’s Islamist ally chose Tehran over Washington

Erdogan mourns Khamenei while blocking US bases. His behavior is that of a state sponsor of terrorism. Opinion.

Operation Roaring Lion:

The Beit Shemesh massacre proves 'restraint' is a Death Sentence

This cruel strike is a stark reminder that no city in Israel is safe so long as Tehran’s missile infrastructure remains intact. Opinion.

The "Artesh-IRGC Divorce":

How to weaponize Iran’s 14% desertion rate

While the Revolutionary Guards are unconditionally loyal to the Supreme Leader, the Artesh, Iran's regular army, has historically viewed itself as the defender of the Iranian nation. Opinion.

The Death of the 1967 Illusion:

"Greater Israel" rhetoric is the key to peace

Killing the illusion of 1967 can start the only peace process that has a chance of succeeding. Opinion.

Why 2026 is the year Israel finally stopped fearing Ramadan

When Israel retreated from its holiest site during Ramadan, it fueled the hope that the Jewish state can eventually be pushed out of Jerusalem entirely. No more. Op-ed.

Phase 2 of Trump's Peace Plan:

Gaza Peace without disarmament is a countdown to the next Oct. 7

The 60-day window given by the Israeli cabinet is not an "ultimatum" to be negotiated; it is a reality check for the international community. Opinion.

The Sovereignty Shift:

Land Registration in Judea and Samaria is the key to stability

By removing these territories from the "negotiating table" of the failed Oslo framework, Israel is forcing a shift in Palestinian Arab psychology. Opinion.

The Warlord’s Peace:

Why Gaza’s clans are the missing piece of the victory puzzle

A choice is being forced upon the Gazan street: side with the ideology that brought ruin, or side with the local strongmen who can provide security, trade, and survival. Opinion.

The Oxfam Exodus:

When the ‘Genocide’ narrative becomes too heavy to carry

Major international NGOs like Oxfam, once dedicated to the impartial relief of suffering, have been transformed into narrative laundries. Opinion.

Israel's legal option:

Sunset the 'Refugee' myth by equating Gaza with Baghdad

The Palestinian Arab 'refugee' issue is not a humanitarian tragedy; it is a manufactured industry designed to facilitate the destruction of the Jewish state. We must stop asking "How do we reform UNRWA?" and start asking "How do we sunset it?" Opinion.

Administrative Sovereignty:

Reforming Judea and Samaria governance as a security imperative

As Israel navigates the regional landscape, the transition from military administration to civilian "Administrative Sovereignty" is no longer an ideological luxury; it is a fundamental security requirement. Opinion.

The Araghchi Doctrine:

A 'Good Atmosphere' in Oman is a death warrant for Israel

As Netanyahu tries to convince Trump of the 'Muscat Trap' in an agreement with Iran, Israelis must be made clearly aware that ballistic missiles left intact are a death warrant. Opinion.

The “Bristol Precedent"

When a UK Jury excused vandalism against an Israeli target

When jurors choose to acquit not because the accused are innocent, but because they sympathize with their motives, the law has no meaning. Opinion.

The Mavi Vatan Doctrine:

Beware the Saudi-Turkish naval axis

How the Saudi-Turkish naval axis is dismantling the Abraham Accords architecture as the synergy between Saudi financial weight and Turkish expeditionary power creates a multi-theater security challenge. Analysis.

The End of Diplomacy:

Tehran just declared war on every soldier in Europe

The U.S. and its European allies must fight fire with fire, recalling ambassadors, triggering the full return of all United Nations sanctions, and more. Opinion.

Beyond the Last Hostage:

Israel risks losing the strategic endgame in Gaza

Peace is not a product of conferences or signatures; it is the result of the enemy accepting that they have lost. Only once the foundational concept of Israeli victory is accepted can any discussion about the future relationship begin. Opinion.

Amine Ayoub:

The "Board of Peace" Gaza Plan is a recipe for Hamas’s revival

Real peace is never made with active enemies who believe they can wait out their opponents; it is made only with former enemies who have been unequivocally defeated. Opinion.

Dollar or Drones:

Trump moves to cut off Iran’s Iraqi lifeline

Washington is making the cost of Iraqi Iranian alignment unavoidable. Opinion.

The Blue Nile Showdown:

Why Israel cannot ignore Egypt’s water crisis

A water-starved Egypt risks becoming a source of radicalization and even military escalation. Sisi's appearance at Davos reflects that Egypt is seeking an external lifeline to stabilize a system weakened by years of strategic miscalculation tht led to that shortage. Opinion.

The UN’s Jihadi Time Bomb:

Why Israel must not trust the new Islamist order in Syria

The situation demands that the West and the United Nations stop being fooled by Syrian political theater and humanitarian platitudes, all part of Turkey's plan for control of the area. The Kurds plight is the proof. Opinion.

"Blue Homeland" at risk:

Israel has caused the collapse of Turkey's Indian Ocean monopoly

Israel changed the geopolitical situation in the Horn of Africa when it recognized Somaliland. Read about the "Blue Homeland" (Mavi Vatan) doctrine and its goal, stymied by Israel, and why Turkey has to stay on the good side of the UAE despite that setback. Opinion.

The Death of the Kurdish Buffer:

How the Syria-SDF Deal hands Turkey a strategic victory

Israel must now navigate a dangerous northern front where the "Victory Doctrine" of its neighbors-specifically Turkey-has succeeded in replacing a pluralistic buffer with a centralized Islamist-aligned cage. Opinion.

Iran’s Cry for Help:

Ignored by the Muslim World - Acknowledged by Israel

Israel has emerged as the most vocal advocate for the Iranian people, while the much-touted Islamic "Ummah" watches the slaughter from the sidelines. An upside-down situation that can lead to a better future for Israel and Iran. Opinion.

Towards an unapologetically Jewish state:

Why Israel Is right to abandon the UN’s ‘Bureaucratic Jihad’

Disengaging from these bodies is not isolationism. It is an act of strategic hygiene. Opinion.

The Silence of the Sands:

Sisi’s FTO-backed crackdown could Ignite the Southern frontier

At a cost exceeding sixty billion dollars and located forty-five kilometers deep into the desert, the new capital was designed not for governance but for insulation. Will it work? Opinion.

Amine Ayoub:

Israel cannot afford a Hamas ‘Victory Picture’ during Ramadan

To allow a weakened, cornered Hamas to project an image of dominance in the heart of Jerusalem by alowing its flag to fly on the Temple Mount would be to grant them a strategic lifeline precisely when they must face the reality that their war aims have failed. Opinion.

Beyond the Technocratic Shell Game:

Why organizational finality is the only solution for Gaza

The organizational infrastructure of Hamas must be pulverized beyond the point of reconstitution. Nothing short of that can work. Certaiinly not a repeat of Arafat's move to Tunis. Opinion.

Turkey:

The ‘New Iran’ and the global export of radicalism

Ankara’s foreign policy relies on a "double game" that exploits its membership in NATO while subverting the security of its allies. Opinion.

A "Permit to Hate:"

Spain has forgotten its history

Spain’s "Permit to Hate" is a result of govt rhetoric that birthed the 'Barcelonaz' terror map. Will there be another Jewish exodus? Op-ed.

Venezuela Analysis:

The fall of the tropical Caliphate

Why the end of Maduro is a strategic nightmare for Iran and Turkey. Opinion.

The victims no one mourns:

Why the "New Syria" is slaughtering minorities

The "New Syria" is indeed stable, but it is the stability of a graveyard. Opinion.

The Walls Come Down:

How Cairo is quietly building the "Sinai Option"

Reports indicate that the Netanyahu government, emboldened by the Trump administration, is preparing to unilaterally facilitate the exit of Gazans. Egypt is preparing for the overflow. Opinion.

The Billion-Dollar Bluff:

Why Egypt is playing the "Debt-for-Displacement" card right now

Egypt is losing the battle for the Red Sea as Israel's recognition of Somaaliland proves a diplomatic coup that puts Cairo in the shade. Opinion.

Starving but Surveying:

Dangerous implications of Egypt’s Chinese-backed space program

This is classic scientific cover for military capability. Independent sensors will allow the Egyptian military to keep a watchful eye on the Negev and monitor IDF movements without relying on intelligence sharing that might be withheld during a crisis. There is more. Opinion.

The Jordan-Syria "Drug Front":

Why the Monarchy is re-evaluating Damascus

Trump's normalizing relations with an Islamist government that tolerates-or profits from-a narco-economy is strategic suicide. The United States must stop viewing the drug war in the Levant as a secondary issue. Jordan has emphatically done so. Opinion.

The Red Sea Divorce:

How Erdogan just outflanked the UAE in Sudan

Ankara and Abu Dhabi are actively reshaping the security architecture of one of the world’s most vital waterways. Why is the US silent? Opnion.

Where is the Vatican?

While Israel protects Christmas, Jenin burns It

The burning of the Christmas tree at a church in Jenin is ignored by the Vatican which cannot process Palestinian Arab oppression of Christians. The West ignores it at its peril. Opinion.

The Palmyra Betrayal:

Why Washington must stop subsidizing Syria Islamist infiltration

The Islamic State and its ideological sympathizers have not vanished; they have simply moved into the Syrian army barracks. Opinion.