A poll conducted by the Direct Polls Institute for i24NEWS shows that if elections were held today, the Likud party would win 28 seats.
In this scenario, Naftali Bennett's party would receive 19 seats, the Democrats 13, Shas 10, Otzma Yehudit 9, Yisrael Beytenu 9, United Torah Judaism 8, the Religious Zionist Party 6, a reservists' party led by Yoaz Hendel 5, Yesh Atid 4, Ra’am 4, and Hadash-Ta’al 4.
The Blue and White and Balad parties would fail to pass the electoral threshold.
The poll also explored a scenario in which a new right-wing party formed by former defense establishment figures, including Yossi Cohen, Dedi Simchi, Ofer Winter, and Amir Avivi, would run.
In this case, Likud would win 25 seats, Bennett’s party would get 17, and the new right-wing defense establishment party would secure 13. The Democrats would still receive 13 seats, while Shas would secure 9, Yisrael Beytenu 8, United Torah Judaism 8, Otzma Yehudit 5, Yoaz Hendel’s party 5, Ra’am 5, Yesh Atid 4, the Religious Zionist Party 4, and Hadash-Ta’al 4.
In this scenario as well, the Blue and White party would not pass the electoral threshold.