In his innovative and brave speech last month,

President Bush laid out a diagram for genuine peace

between Palestinians and Israelis. In essence, the

United States has declared that there can be no peace

with Arafat or with the Palestinian Authority, but

that she would fully support a democratic Palestinian

nation that eliminated terror and negotiated a fair

settlement with Israel. Never has the Palestinian

dream of a state, or a free and prosperous Arab

nation, been closer to realization.



In spite of its good intentions, the plan hasn?t got a

chance.



?Peace requires a new and different Palestinian

leadership, so that a Palestinian state can be born,?

said Bush. ?I call on the Palestinian people to elect

new leaders, leaders not compromised by terror. I call

upon them to build a practicing democracy based on

tolerance and liberty." Bush's conditions for a

Palestinian state are minimal: a regime change,

democracy and a governmental apparatus that at the

very least doesn?t sustain terrorists. The first

stipulation has seldom been pulled off in an Arab

state without sadistic violence (I only use the word

?seldom? in the slim chance I might have missed a

peaceful Arab regime change somewhere in the history

books. I doubt it.) The second, an Arab democracy,

exists only as some futuristic, utopian fantasy in

Colin Powell?s imagination.



Recently, just in case there was still anyone in the

administration that believed in the PA?s quest for

peace, Bush received an intelligence report that

Arafat had approved a $20,000 payment to members of

the Al Aksa Martyrs Brigades terror group, an action

that may or may not have convinced the President that

the godfather of modern terror had to go. (Apparently,

that and the Karine A shipment from Iran in January

was not enough to convince the European Union, which

released over 18 million Euros to the P.A. this week.

Israel can now understandably hold the EU partially

responsible for the death of her civilians.) Bush also

told his key allies that the United States would cut

off aid to the Palestinians if they failed to embrace

the changes he suggested.



Shimon Peres, who now embarrasses the Israeli

government and Jews worldwide every time he speaks,

said that Bush?s speech was a "fatal mistake" and that

a bloodbath would follow. Peres, like his allies in

Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the United Nations, would like

to see Palestinian statehood established with reforms

implemented afterward. If a few hundred Israeli

children are killed while the PA mobster state

expands, well, legacy building has a price. Peres?

friend, U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan, who you?d

mistakenly believe would be particularly supportive of

free and open elections, also echoed warnings from top

Palestinians, cautioning against free elections that

could put extremists in power legally, producing a

more radical leadership.



Unfortunately, Annan may have a point.



Bush?s assertion that Palestinians should elect

someone not "compromised" by terror is regretfully

unrealistic. After decades of anti-Semitic propaganda

and jihadist brainwashing, polls substantiate the

uncivilized tenor of the general population in

'Palestinian territory', which widely supports terror.

In a recent poll, a majority of Palestinians said

their goal was the elimination Israel, while only 43

percent support a Palestinian state on the West Bank

and Gaza. The same polls showed that between 60

percent and more than 70 percent of Palestinians

support suicide bombings. Wednesday's Los Angeles

Times also reported in a poll conducted this month by

the Jerusalem Media & Communications Center, that 25

percent of Palestinians chose Arafat as the person

they "trust the most." Arafat?s closest rival? Sheik

Ahmed Yassin, spiritual leader of the terror group

Hamas, who picked up 9 percent. Hamas does not

recognize the PA and did not run candidates 1996

election, and may not participate in any election in

the near future.



Israeli Housing Minister Natan Sharansky, for one,

believes that of all the Arabs Palestinians are the

closest to a democracy. Sharansky, a gulag survivor,

blames the West for propping up a dictator like

Arafat. And when reminded that the polls show the

Palestinians still support Arafat in big numbers,

Sharansky asked, "What does it mean that the

Palestinians love only Arafat, the Russians when asked

loved only Stalin. Did they have a choice? Has anybody

made sure that the Palestinians have a choice?"

Which adversary of Israel will guarantee that

Palestinians actually have a ?choice? this time? The

EU? Jimmy Carter? Powell? Arafat? And what does a

democracy guarantee anyway? The elected Iranian

parliament makes the autocratic King of Jordan seem

like Thomas Jefferson. Democracy on its own means

nothing. But perhaps the Palestinians will surprise

the world. Perhaps they will transform the Middle East

forever. More likely, overwhelming and foolish hatred

will trump the promise of freedom and prosperity.





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David Harsanyi is an NYC-based writer. Email him at

david_harsanyi@yahoo.com.