President Trump meets with military brass
President Trump meets with military brassREUTERS

President Donald Trump suggested Thursday that his administration was prepared to take dramatic action vis-à-vis the Iranian regime, speaking out during a meeting with military leaders and their families in the White House.

At the meeting, which took place amid reports indicating the president plans not to recertify Iranian compliance with the 2015 Iranian nuclear deal, the president teased reporters with suggestions the gathering was “the calm before the storm”, without elaborating.

The president invited reporters for the photo op during the meeting, which preceded a White House dinner with military leaders and their families, yet declined to explain the significance of the event.

Trump asked journalists present if they knew “what this represents”.

“Maybe it’s the calm before the storm,” the president added. “You’ll find out.”

President Trump did make a reference to the Iranian government during the meeting, however, shedding some light onto his otherwise cryptic comments.

In a brief statement, the president appeared to affirm reports that he intends to refuse recertification of Iranian compliance to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, a move that would likely spell the end of the 2015 agreement.

By law, the president must report to Congress on Iran’s compliance with the JCPOA every 90 days.

Failure to recertify Iranian compliance would force Congress to respond within 60 days, either restoring US sanctions on the Tehran regime and likely forcing an end to the deal itself, or moving to alter the sanctions regime. Removal of those sanctions targeting Iran’s nuclear program was a key condition for securing Iranian agreement to the JCPOA.

President Trump has thus far recertified Iran twice, but according to sources in Washington, is now expected to declare Iran in violation of the deal.

During his statement Thursday night, however, the president went beyond Iran’s nuclear program, addressing Iranian aggression generally.

“The Iranian regime supports terrorism and exports violence, bloodshed and chaos across the Middle East,” Trump said. “That is why we must put an end to Iran’s continued aggression and nuclear ambitions. They have not lived up to the spirit of their agreement.”

Democrats, and even some senior Trump administration officials, backed recertification and the continuation of the JCPOA.

Some 180 congressional Democrats signed a letter to the president urging him to recertify Iran's compliance with the nuclear deal ahead of the October 15 deadline.

But some Republican lawmakers, including Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton, strongly objected to recertification, citing Iran’s refusal to permit the International Atomic Energy Association’s inspection teams to perform on-site checks of military bases suspected of being used by Iran’s nuclear program.

"The IAEA's admission that they are unable to verify a fundamental provision under the nuclear deal—that the Iranians are not engaging in activities or using equipment to develop a nuclear explosive device—is highly alarming. In these circumstances, issuing a compliance certification would be serious mistake," Cruz said.

"If the Iranians are serious about a peaceful program, they need to prove it. Iran's continued refusal to allow IAEA access to military sites—a clear requirement of the terms of the deal—renders the JCPOA utterly ineffective, and, even worse, a sham that only facilitates Iran's acquiring nuclear weapons. This absence of any meaningful verification is yet another reason to vitiate this foolhardy agreement."