
New Quinnipiac University polls released Thursday find close races in the four largest, most consequential swing states on the 2016 map.
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are running neck-and-neck in Florida, where the race is deadlocked, and Ohio, where Trump leads Clinton by a single percentage point, the polls found, according to Politico.
Meanwhile, Clinton has a 4-point lead in North Carolina, a poll there shows, and a 5-point edge in Pennsylvania.
The new polls are mostly consistent with other public surveys — though the North Carolina result differs from a Suffolk University poll, also released Thursday, that showed Trump up slightly there, noted Politico.
Quinnipiac also shows a toss-up race in Ohio, where other public polls have shown a small, but consistent, Clinton advantage.
In Florida, Clinton and Trump are deadlocked at 47 percent among likely voters, according to the poll, which first asked respondents to choose only between the two major-party candidates. Trump leads Clinton among male voters by 22 points, 58 percent to 36 percent. But Clinton equals him with a 20-point lead among women, 56 percent to 36 percent.
Trump also leads Clinton among white voters in Florida, 59 percent to 36 percent, with only a slight difference between white voters with and without college degrees. But Clinton wins two out of three nonwhite voters, outpacing Trump, 67 percent to 25 percent.
Clinton’s 4-point lead in North Carolina — 47 percent to 43 percent — is driven by the eradication of the gender gap, noted Politico. Clinton leads by 2 points among men and 7 points among women, and is ahead despite Trump winning white voters by a 2-to-1 margin, 60 percent to 30 percent.
In Ohio, the poll found, Trump has a 1-point edge over Clinton, 46 percent to 45 percent. That advantage swells to 4 points when Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein are included.
Clinton leads Trump in Pennsylvania by 5 points, 48 percent to 43 percent. While Trump, overall, has an 8-point lead among white voters, Clinton has a 7-point lead among white college graduates, and a 1-point edge with white women.
The polls were conducted between August 29 and September 7, including over the Labor Day weekend.
A CNN poll released earlier this week found Trump in the lead by two percentage points over Clinton among likely voters in the presidential election in November.
The results of the survey represent a sharp turnaround from the situation just a month ago after the Democratic National Convention. In early August, Clinton led by as many as 10 points in some polls, with many pundits saying Trump had lost all his momentum.