Poll Gives Labor 3 Mandate Edge, Centrist Backing

Labor 24, Likud 21 as Yesh Atid surges to 14. Majority of Yesh Atid and Kulanu voters want Herzog as prime minitser.

Arutz Sheva Staff ,

Yitzhak Herzog
Yitzhak Herzog
Yonatan Sindel/Flash 90

A poll on the Knesset Channel a week ahead of March 17 elections gives the Labor and Hatnua "Zionist Camp" of Yitzhak Herzog and Tzipi Livni an edge over Likud, with Labor coming in at 24 mandates and Likud at 21.

Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid continues its comeback to 14 seats, still a far cry from its current 19, and the joint Arab list comes in next at 13 mandates. Jewish Home at 12 seats continues to come in at fifth, a trend in recent weeks with intermittent results at fourth place.

Moshe Kahlon's Kulanu comes in next at nine, followed by Shas at seven, United Torah Judaism at six, and Yisrael Beytenu and Meretz getting five seats each. Eli Yishai's Yachad - Ha'am Itanu joint list with Otzma Yehudit continues to pass the threshold with four seats.

The poll, which was conducted for the channel by Panels Politics, shows that 79% of Yesh Atid voters want their party to recommend Herzog for prime minister, while only 14% prefer Likud chairman Binyamin Netanyahu. Netanyahu brought the snap elections by kicking Lapid and Livni out of his coalition for what he termed a "putsch" attempt.

Likewise the poll found 47% of Kulanu supporters want Kahlon to recommend that Herzog form a coalition government, while 33% back Netanyahu and 20% are undecided.

Given the backing of the "centrist" parties of Yesh Atid and Kulanu, Labor would have 47 seats on its way to trying to reach a 61 seat majority needed in forming a coalition. However, last Friday Kahlon clarified that he would not join a coalition with parties that are "not nationalist," indicating the Arab party and complicating Labor's chances of coalition building.

It has been assessed that Netanyahu would have a greater likelihood in forming a coalition, and apparently would be given first crack in trying to do so.

A full 1,025 respondents were included in the wide survey, with a 3% margin of error.