Poll: Clinton has 95% chances of winning election

New poll finds Clinton would have a 95 percent chance of beating Trump if elections were held today.

Arutz Sheva Staff,

Donald Trump and Hilary Clinton
Donald Trump and Hilary Clinton
Reuters

If the United States presidential election were held today, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton would win the key swing states of Florida, Ohio and Virginia and have a 95 percent chance of beating Republican Donald Trump, the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project released on Wednesday finds.

The project, which combines opinion polls with an analysis of voting patterns under different election scenarios, shows Clinton currently beating Trump in the popular vote by six percentage points and ahead in 19 states, including most of the larger-population ones that heavily influence the outcome of the election.

At the moment, found the poll, Clinton would win at least 268 votes in the Electoral College, the body that ultimately chooses the next president, just two shy of what she needs to win the White House.

Trump would win at least 21 states, many of them with smaller populations, giving him a minimum of 179 electoral votes.

The Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project is driven by an online survey that gathers responses from about 16,000 people per week. Respondents answer questions about their demographic background, their party affiliation and their choice for president. Their responses are weighted according to the latest population estimates, and each respondent is ranked according to their likelihood to vote.

Representatives from the Clinton and Trump campaigns did not respond to requests for comment on the project.

A poll released last week found that Clinton had opened up a 9-point lead over Trump in one of the key states, Florida.

But previous polls have also found that the Democratic nominee's lead over her Republican rival is down to just four points nationwide.

Despite the latest poll results, the game is far from over for the Republican nominee and much could still change before November. Click here for an analysis.




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