What will Israel's next war look like?

Could Israel be facing multi-front war with hundreds of thousands of rockets targeting Israeli cities? IDF presents war scenario to cabinet.

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Uzi Baruch,

Patriot Missile Battery
Patriot Missile Battery
IDF/Flash 90

Hundreds of thousands of rockets and missiles targeting Israel. More than 10,000 direct hits by rockets on buildings in Israeli towns. Three hundred and fifty people dead.

That is the scenario presented recently by the IDF to the Security Cabinet, highlighting the potential threats by Israel – and the army’s preparations to confront them.

According to IDF estimates, such a conflict could include attacks by Islamic terror groups from the Gaza Strip, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and the Syrian and Iranian militaries. In such a scenario, most of Israel – and most of Israel’s population – would be under direct threat from rocket and missile fire, though the majority of such weapons would likely hit open spaces.

In the scenario laid out in the IDF report, more than 230,000 rockets and missiles would be directed towards Israel, covering the country from the Haifa district in the north to the southern coast, leaving most of the population vulnerable.

While only 1% of rockets and missiles fired would be expected to cause damage in populated areas, given the large volume of projectiles, hundreds of casualties could result from the conflict.

Next week, Home Front Command will hold its annual emergency exercises. Beginning Sunday and continuing through Wednesday, this year’s exercises, code-names “Standing Firm”, will include emergency sirens in populated areas, to be sounded twice on Tuesday.

Residents are advised to plan a path to the nearest safe-room or bomb shelter as part of the exercises mock emergency sirens.