Undecided Votes Hold the Key

The undecided vote, estimated at more than 15 percent, is worth nearly 20 Knesset seats and holds the key to the outcome of the general election.

Tzvi Ben Gedalyahu,

Netanyahu seeking votes at Mahane Yehuda
Netanyahu seeking votes at Mahane Yehuda
Israel News Photo: Flash 90

The undecided vote, estimated at more than 15 percent, is worth nearly 20 Knesset seats and holds the key to the outcome of the general election next Tuesday. All polls so far have shown that Israel Is Our Home (Yisrael Beiteinu), headed by Knesset Member Avigdor Lieberman, has become the star of the surveys, but they are in disagreement concerning the strength of Kadima and the Likud.

A New Wave poll published by Yisrael HaYom (Israel Today) on Thursday morning awards the Likud 30 seats, compared with 24 for Kadima. Yisrael Beiteinu follows with 17, and Labor has 16.

There are stark differences among this week's polls, with the results apparently skewed by the large undecided vote.

Surveys carried out for Channel 2 television, Ma'ariv and Globes give the Likud between 24-27 seats and Kadima 21-23, boosting Kadima's hopes that it might be able to close the gap by next Tuesday.

Following are the ranges of all four of the above polls:

Likud: 24-30
Kadima: 21-25
Yisrael Beiteinu: 17-19
Labor: 13-17
Shas: 9-11
Meretz: 6-9
United Torah Judaism (UTJ): 5-6
Arab parties: 6-9
Ichud Leumi (National Union): 2-6
Jewish Home: 2-3

All of the surveys still indicate that the more nationalist and religious parties can form a majority. Netanyahu has said he wants his coalition to include Yisrael Beiteinu and Labor. However, several senior Labor MKs, most notably MK Shelly Yechimovich, have categorically rejected the possibility of the party joining a Likud-led coalition.





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