Op-Ed: Crimea and "Palestine"
Mark LangfanThe writer, who specializes in security issues, has created an original...
Over the past few days, Russian President Vladimir Putin has made various military moves which presage an imminent invasion of the Crimea. Such moves have included Russian forces occupying Crimean military and civilian airports, and landing thousands of highly armed Russian special forces into those airports.
The overwhelmingly Russian-majority parts of the Crimea are welcoming the regular Russian forces with Russian flag-waving. In the face of what is clearly is a lead-up to a likely Russian invasion, the Obama regime has simply waffled.
All the European countries are horrified by Putin's very blunt and naked aggression. If Georgia is any precedent, Putin will soon have opened a land corridor from Russia to Russia's key naval base in Sevastopol. Events have moved with lightning speed, and will be presented as fait accompli. The UN will be paralyzed.
Putin has injected thousands of Red (Russian) Spetsnaz troops into Crimea and may invade even deeper into the Ukraine. That same Russia could inject tens of thousands of Spetsnaz ( or Republican Guards) into the international airport of a future independent "West Bank Palestine State".
The only campaign promise Obama has kept (apart from his promise to open direct talks with Iran) was the famous "hot mic" promise of "flexibility" to Putin transmitted through the then-President Medvedev.
About the only campaign promise Obama has kept (apart from his promise to open direct talks with Iran) was Obama's famous "hot mic" promise of "flexibility" to Putin transmitted through the then-President Medvedev.
On March 26, 2012, Obama told his then-Russian counterpart Medvedev: "On all these issues, but particularly missile defense, this, this can be solved but it’s important for him to give me space".
President Medvedev: Yeah, I understand. I understand your message about space. Space for you…
President Obama: This is my last election. After my election I have more flexibility.
President Medvedev: I understand. I will transmit this information to Vladimir.
Medvedev was very clear to explain to Obama, in English, the nuance that Medvedev couldn't even begin to negotiate or represent anything on the subject, and was only empowered to pass the "information to Vladimir."
Obama has been flexible to Russia not only on missile defense, but also on Russia's abetting Assad's murder of hundreds of thousands of Sunnis. He turned a blind eye to Russia arming Iran with nukes, Egypt with billions of weapons, and now Russia invading the Crimea. Obama has been "flexible" indeed. Russia has accomplished almost all these striking goals while almost all of the European countries were steadfastly against most of Russia's moves.
Now, if Obama rolled-over for Putin when almost all the EU and Sunni Arab world were against it, just imagine if Russia inserted troops into a "West Bank Palestine" where the EU and Sunnis would be all for it. With West Bank Palestine international airports under Palestinian control, Russia could land 20 troops transports in 2 hours before Israel knew what happened. Would Israel shoot Russian troop transport planes vectoring for Palestinian Arab International airports out of the sky? That's a strong "no," except if Israel wanted to be nuked by Russian ICBMs. Could the UN do a single thing if Russia sent thousands of soldiers into "West Bank Palestine"? Russia and likely China, France, and Great Britain would fight over who vetoes the resolution first.
And what if 10 Iranian civilian jumbo jets full of Iranian Republican Guard soldier "tourists" are in formation, and about to land in the "West Bank Palestine"'s international airport?!!? The thousands of Iranian soldiers in full military dress want to come and visit the Holy Land, especially the al Aska mosque in al Quds! In a "West Bank Palestine", could Israel stop them? Of course not. Once Israel cedes federal "National" level sovereignty over any inch of the are and grants construciton of international airports, the entire game is over. Anybody can bring anybody into that geographic area. And, there will be a future saying in the Middle East, "One man's 'tourist' is another man's 'terrorist'"
If Iran gains an arsenal of nuclear weapons, Iran's ability to present a fait accompli injection of tens of thousands "visiting" al Quds troops into the real al Quds will come true. Palestinian citizenship and residency can be granted to tens, or hundreds, of thousands of Iranian Republican guards and their full families. So, if Israel ever had to re-invade the West Bank (say over an Iranian Katyusha rocket into Tel Aviv), Israel would not only have the currently existing status quo Palestinian population to control, but also the hundreds of thousands, and perhaps millions, of additional new "Palestinians" that would had been granted citizenship and residency by the independent "Palestine".
In conclusion, if Russia or Iran act with impunity over invasions of Georgia, and the Crimea, or proxy wars such as Syria, they will do so when Obama creates an independent "West Bank Palestine". Hagel's statement that Russia shouldn't take any action that "could be misinterpreted" clearly "scared" the Russkies. Larvov probably said to Putin, "well, a clear 'invasion' would be 'misinterpreted.'"
Then, as to Obama's "there will be costs," Putin likely said to Lavrov, "There will be 'costs' to the US." Obama's spineless quotes on the Ukraine will seem brave compared to when Russia or Iran will throw thousands of soldiers into a 'democratic' Palestine that has requested Russian and Iranian troops to march in. Instead of Jews abstractly 'piously' debating and counting "demography," Israel may likely be concretely counting thousands of dead Jews.