The Power of Prediction

An article that is as true as it was when first written.

David Singer

OpEds David Singer
David Singer

When the following article was published on 26 December 2008 I had no inkling that Operation Cast Lead was going to be launched by Israel into Gaza the very next day.

Nevertheless other signs were very evident to support my prediction that 2009 would be another year of tragedy and suffering for both Jews and Arabs.

The reasons were clearly set out in my article and still remain unaddressed. Such failure has ensured that since the Oslo Accords were signed in 1993 until the present day - any hope of achieving the creation of a new, non-hostile  Arab state between Israel, Jordan and Egypt was and remains a pipe dream.

Still the Quartet - America, Russia, the European Union and the United Nations - pursues a solution that is totally flawed and fails to demand a change of policy by both Hamas and the Palestinian Authority if the Quartet's long running "two-state solution" is to have even the slightest chance of ever eventuating.

Given the current upheaval in the region - Israel's willingness to concede what it offered in 2000 and 2007 must surely be revised downwards.

The lives of 7.2 million Israeli citizens - both Jews and Arabs - are literally at risk as the continuation of the Israel-Egypt and Israel-Jordan peace treaties come under pressure - giving rise to grave security concerns for the continuing safety of Israel's population..

The notion that the Charters of both Hamas and the Palestinian Authority continue to contain provisions that negate the existence of a Jewish State are offensive and contradict the clear expression of the international community as expressed in the League of Nations Mandate for Palestine and article 80 of the UN Charter.

Whilst the Quartet pussyfoots around these provisions it is safe to predict its "two-state solution" will remain a historical oddity.

The Arabs Want It All


Palestine - The Ten Commandments That Must Be Broken

The United Nations Security Council in passing Resolution 1850 on 19 December 2008 solemnly noted “that lasting peace can only be based on an enduring commitment to mutual recognition, freedom from violence, incitement and terror and the two-State solution ..”

Strangely the Security Council in coming to this considered position made no mention of one of the greatest obstacles to achieving that mutual recognition - the arrogant, racist driven and offensive provisions contained in the Charter of the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO).

The Charter still remains in its 1967 format despite spurious claims by the PLO to have amended or revoked its terms as a condition of – and following - the execution of the Oslo Accords in 1993.

The Charter contains the following Ten Commandments to be followed by Palestinian Arabs in denying Jews any claim to sovereignty in any part of Palestine, pursuing Arab supremacist claims to all of Palestine, nullifying international law recognizing that the Jews have the right to nationhood similar to the Arab Nation and absolutely precluding the possibility of any “two-State” solution:

1.    Palestine is the homeland of the Palestinian Arab people and an integral part of the great Arab homeland and the people of Palestine is a part of the Arab Nation
2.    Palestine with its boundaries that existed in the time of the British Mandate is an indivisible territorial   unit.
3.    The Palestinian Arab people possesses the legal right to its homeland
4.    Armed struggle is the only way to liberate Palestine.
5.    The Palestinian Arab people affirm its absolute resolution and abiding determination to exercise its right of self determination in Palestine and sovereignty over it.
6.    The partitioning of Palestine in 1947 and the establishment of Israel are fundamentally null and void whatever time has elapsed
7.    The Balfour Declaration, the Mandate Document and everything based upon them are deemed null and void.
8.    The claim of historical ties or religious ties between Jews and Palestine does not tally with historical realities nor with the constituents of statehood in their true sense.
9.    Judaism is not a nationality with an independent existence
10.  The Jews are not one people with an independent identity but citizens of the state to which they belong.

This disturbing mindset is one that needs to be eradicated before any chance of resolving sovereignty in the West Bank between Arabs and Jews becomes even a remote possibility.

Such ideas fuel continuing Arab demands that call for:

1.    A “one-State solution”,
2.    Millions of Arabs being allowed to emigrate into Israel
3.    Israel ceasing to exist as the Jewish State
4.    The West Bank being turned into a “No Jews” zone.
5.    Unrealistic “peace proposals” such as the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative
6.    Solidarity and enforced silence from many of the 57 States in the Arab and Islamic world that wish to normalise their relations with Israel but are afraid to do so
7.    Support of terrorist organizations such as Hamas and Islamic Jihad
8.    Continued indiscriminate rocket and mortar attacks on Israel’s civilian population centres

The United Nations lacks the ability to procure the passage of any resolution - either in the General Assembly or the Security Council – calling on its Arab, Islamic and Third World members to condemn the continued existence of these hate-driven provisions in the PLO Charter.

Nor does the United Nations possess the willpower to demand the PLO redraw the Charter to remove these offensive provisions and raise some hope of a possible end to 130 years of Arab delusion, paranoia and rejectionism that has prevented any Arab acknowledgement that Jews have any rights to a Jewish State in any part of their biblical and internationally sanctioned homeland.

Resolution 1850 is therefore not worth the paper it is written on. Its call for mutual recognition is merely empty words devoid of any legal enforcement or moral persuasion. The Resolution reflects the impotence of the Security Council to do anything but attempt to save face as it finally realises that time has run out for the Bush Performance Based Road Map and the ignominious role played by the United Nations as a member of the supposedly high powered Quartet that was going to bring the lasting peace that had eluded all the intensive efforts by so many others before it.

Until these Ten Commandments prescribed in the PLO Charter are obliterated and shredded into tiny little pieces, any hopes of peacefully resolving the conflicting Arab and Jewish claims to the West Bank and Gaza are doomed to failure.

To suggest these insuperable barriers to peace will be removed once a peace agreement is signed is to believe in the existence of fairies at the bottom of the garden. Putting the cart before the horse only guarantees that your longed for destination will never be reached.

2009 therefore promises to be another year of tragedy and suffering for both Jews and Arabs.

Resolution 1850 has now dubbed the “two-State solution” - involving the creation of a 22nd Arab State between Jordan and Israel - as “an irreversible process”.

Unfortunately it is only the negotiations to achieve this outcome that continue to slide irreversibly into ever growing farce and continuing failure.  They will continue to go backwards until the Arab mindset expressed in the PLO Charter is changed.

No amount of sweet talk and “feel good” statements by the United Nations can halt this downward spiral. Indeed Resolutions such as 1850 only serve to reward continuing Arab intransigence by failing to condemn demands made by the Palestinian Authority and the Arab League extending over the last 60 years that remain unchanged and have no possibility of being accepted by Israel

The time for talkfests and playing diplomatic games has well and truly expired.

Bad Commandments require to be broken and these ten are perfect examples of what can be achieved if this occurs. We can only hope such a miracle happens very soon.