The polls have been coming out fast and furious, ever since the Knesset decided to dissolve itself three days ago. The latest poll, carried out by Midgam for Channel 2, indicates that a Labor ticket, after the merger with Hatnua, would receive 24 Knesset seats.
Likud would receive 23 seats; Jewish Home 15; Yisrael Beytenu 8; Shas 9 and United Torah Judaism (UTJ) 8. This means that the traditional right wing-religious bloc would have a slim majority of 63 seats, or two more than it currently enjoys.
Moshe Kahlon's Kulanu party would receive 9 seats, and Meretz would have 5. The Arab parties would split 11 seats between them.
Kulanu is expected to be willing to join either a Likud-led coalition or a left-wing coalition. However, Kahlon's sudden shift from hard right views to somewhat leftist ones have left some observers at a loss regarding his real intentions.
Asked whom they would like to see as the next prime minister, 36% said Binyamin Netanyahu, while 33% said they preferred a rotation between Tzipi Livni and Yitzchak Herzog.
If Likud and Jewish Home ran together, the poll shows, they would drop in combined power to just 33 MKs, as opposed to a sum total of 48 if they run separately. A similar effect was felt in the last elections, when a combined Likud / Yisrael Beytenu list fared worse than the two did when they were separate.
Midgam is considered to be leftward leaning.
Poll expert Jeremy Saltan told Arutz Sheva that polls are expected to become less confusing and more stable in the last 47 days before the March 17 election, since the parties will have submitted their Knesset lists and no more splitting and joining will be possible.