The Likud party would win 33 mandates, five more than Kadima, if elections were held today, according to a poll published by the Yisrael HaYom (Israel Today) newspaper. The results of the survey shows that Likud chairman Binyamin Netanyahu would become Prime Minister with a slender majority of 61 Knesset Members.
The new line-up in the Knesset, according to the newspaper poll, shows that every other party, except Meretz, would suffer losses. The Greens would win three mandates, giving the faction its first representation in the Knesset.
The results of the survey, with the present number of Knesset seats in brackets, are:
Likud: 33 
Kadima: 28 
Labor: 11 
Shas 10 
Arab parties: 10 
Israel Is Our Home (Yisrael Beiteinu): 7 
Meretz: 7 
(United Torah Judaism-UTJ): 5 
National Union-NRP: 6 
Greens: 3 
The new party headed by Knesset Member Aryeh Eldad would not win the minimum number of votes to sit in the Knesset, and the Pensioners Party, which now has seven mandates, would become be wiped out completely.
Meretz's stability apparently comes at the expense of Labor. The losses for smaller parties, especially for the nationalist Israel Is Our Home and National Union parties, reflects a desire by voters to directly support Likud chairman Netanyahu rather than rely on coalition agreements.
He would be able to form a majority of 61 MKs with the religious and nationalist parties. A Kadima coalition, headed by Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni, would have only 49 mandates, not including the projected 10 Arab seats.