Daily Israel Report

Poll Shows Younger Voters Back Jewish Home

The renewed Jewish Home party, running with the National Union, draws younger voters, many of them secular, a new poll shows.
By Tzvi Ben Gedalyahu
First Publish: 12/19/2012, 8:56 AM

Jewish Home candidates Bennett, Yogev at E1
Jewish Home candidates Bennett, Yogev at E1
Yoni Kempinski

The rejuvenated Habayit Hayehudi (Jewish Home) party, running on a joint and integrated list with the Ichud Leumi (National Union), draws younger voters, many of them secular, a new poll shows.

One-third of voters identifying with Jewish Home are secular and two-thirds are under the age of 40, according to the survey conducted by the Dahaf firm, even though the party is National Religious in character.

The party has undergone a complete overhaul, with the “old guard” being replaced by younger people. Former businessman and CEO of the Council of Judea and Samaria, Naftali Bennett, heads the Jewish Home, whose slate includes a secular woman, Ayelet Shaked, for the first time ever. She is the only secular candidate on the list.

The combined slate of the two parties has been projected by all polls to win at least 12-16 seats in the next Knesset, compared with seven in the current Knesset. The Dahaf poll awards the slate 12 seats.

The Otzma party, featuring National Union Knesset Members Aryeh Eldad and Dr. Michael Ben-Ari, and Baruch Marzel, is taking strength away from the Jewish Home-National Union slate and could cost nationalists two Knesset seats in the elections if Otzma does not win the minimum number of votes to earn representation and the votes go to waste.

The Dahaf poll, like most others, shows that Otzma will be shut out of the next Knesset, but will draw enough votes to cost the two combined nationalist parties two seats. The minimum for a party's Knesset representation is two seats, and a large party can make a pre-election agreement to pool a partial seat with another party only if the partner has received over two seats.

If elections were held today, the Likud party, which now includes Israel Beyteinu, would win 35 seats, seven less then they have today.

Labor would head the opposition with 19 MKs, followed by the Jewish Home-National Union wit h 12 and Shas with 11. Tzipi Livni’s new party, bearing her name, would win 10 seats, one more than Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid (Future) party.

The Yehadut HaTorah party would win six seats and Meretz would win three, with the Arab parties garnering 11 seats.

The poll shows that hareidi-zionist Am Shalem, headed by Rabbi Chaim Amsalem, would not win Knesset representation, bur would draw enough votes to take two seats away from another party, presumably Shas, the former political home of Rabbi Amsalem.