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Inflated Census Figures Show False Demographic Picture

Barak presented inflated figures on the number of Arabs, says a defense industry official: Jews make up a far larger part of Israel than in 1948.
By Tzvi Ben Gedalyahu
First Publish: 2/14/2010, 6:14 PM / Last Update: 2/14/2010, 6:20 PM

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Labor party chairman and Defense Minister Ehud Barak earlier this month stated inflated figures on the number of Arabs in Israel in order to reach a conclusion that failure to reach a two-state solution would create "Apartheid," according to former defense industry official Chaim Rosenberg.


Writing in the Hebrew-language News One (formerly Nfc), Rosenberg said that Barak's figures of six million Arabs living between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea artificially add two milion Arabs to the population figures.


Rosenberg was the head of Long-Term Planning at RAFAEL (Israel Defense Ministry's Armament Development Authority). He wrote that a study published as recently as last year by the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies concluded that there are only four million Arabs, distributed almost equally between Gaza, Judea and Samara, and the rest of Israel.


Barak also stated that the supposed demographic threat is even “more threatening than Iran,” but Rosenberg wrote, “Barak's conclusion is based on a dramatic error of a two million person gap.”


The “demographic threat” is actually non-existent when compared with the census in 1948, when the Jewish State was re-established. Jews comprised only one-third of the population between the Jordan and the Mediterranean at that time.

“In 2010, there is a solid 67 percent Jewish majority in the combined area of pre-1967 Israel and Judea and Samaria” he added. “However, some Israeli politicians employ toxic demographic assets. They inflate the number of Arabs in Judea and Samaria in order to scare the Jewish State into a retreat from a most critical area, historically and security-wise.

“Current demographic bode well for the Jewish majority, which is expected to grow during the next 20 years due to a substantial rise in fertility since 1995, while Arab/Muslim fertility throughout the Middle East has declined sharply. In addition, the Arab minority has experienced an accelerated net-emigration of 580,000 from Judea and Samaria since 1967."

Rosenberg also took a swipe at Barak ,charging that “scrutinizing facts is not a Barak trait, as was also evident during his May 2000 disorderly withdrawal from Lebanon and his July 2000 Camp David ”negotiations with Arafat and Clinton.”