Is a Ganz and Bibi coalition an unholy alliance?

David Bannister,

לבן ריק
לבן ריק
צילום: ערוץ 7
David Bannister
David Bannister has an extensive background in creative media, which has included works featured in international film festivals. David's main passion is the real search for the missing Ark of the Covenant and shedding light on other Biblical related mysteries. Get a free Trail Pass here to follow this adventure. Trail Pass

As we face a new election in just a few weeks time, how assured is the Israeli electorate that this won’t end up in another costly stalemate? One might be forgiven for thinking that potential alliances are being quietly negotiated behind the scenes to avoid such a catastrophe, but this is Israel where the power of latent energy can act as a hallucinogenic drug upon those under such a self inflicted spell. In other words one can only hope that some visionary is currently working behind the political curtains to help us avoid another mistake.   

Polls Verses Voter Day Turn Out

The real manipulating force has to be the curse of polls, which has proven powers to play on the fears of all voters, regardless of their political alliance. In the United States 2016 presidential election, wised up political analysts concluded that it is voting day turn out, rather than pre-voting speculation, which truly counts. Accordingly,if the influence of polls actually sway voters to take a course of action on voting day, which runs counter to their best preferences, then the polls themselves are the true victors.    

Does that mean one should ignore polls? I would say no. However, I would offer another path to take, one that places the uncertainty and confusion of further stagnation being a burden placed on the voters, to one that is placed on the candidates instead. Polls can be a useful guideline for those charged with forming a workable alliance, one that ultimately works in the favour of national interests as a whole. It is most natural and probable that the leading candidates are waiting on the outcome of the election before making moves to form a coalition. However, that should not prevent them from having pre-election meetings to work out a strategy that works in most people’s favour should the election results prove inconclusive once again. It is within this scenario that I would speculate upon a potential path forward.

A Controversial Potential Coalition

One potential coalition that could gather enough seats could be between Bibi, Shaked, the religious parties and Ganz. Although such an alliance would gather the necessary numbers to govern, it is obvious that there will need to be some serious changes within that alliance for it to have a reasonable chance of working. The simple answer would be to drop Lapid together with his Yesh Atid faction. Recent remarks from Ganz have made it clear that he differs from Lapid concerning Haredim rhetoric. Additionally, Ganz has stated that he doesn’t support uprooting settlements. Of course politicians can only be trusted so far, but with a strong right wing and Haredim presence in such a coalition, the force of sheer pressure alone will leave very little wriggle room.

But such an alliance would also necessitate Litzman coming to terms with growing hostility against the Haredim, based on an often unpatriotic and hostile stance by the Haredim against our defence establishment, which only serves to fuel resentment further from all sides. Furthermore, Litzman will have to clarify that his po‎sition against Ganz is based upon Lapid’s anti-Haredim stance, which Ganz himself does not defend. In other words, if Ganz parts from Lapid, then Litzman should support such a tactical move and offer support for a coalition that includes Ganz.    

How It Could Work

Such an alliance might produce a degree of medium term stagnation related to advancing the settlement enterprise, but that could be a far more acceptable fate than having a coalition that actively seeks to uproot everything achieved to date.

While I’m not strongly advocating in favour of such an alliance, I do think it’s worthy of consideration, if and when we have to cross such a bridge due to another inconclusive election result. Accordingly, I am in favour of quiet diplomacy behind the scenes that places the burden of pre-election jitters on our candidates rather than on the besieged voters. One thing is clear; we cannot afford a third election in such a short space of time. If this election fails to deliver the full agenda that fits our own ideology, at least gaining some national unity that doesn’t result in a serious backsliding could be a viable alternative. Accordingly, if a national unity takes shape that doesn’t undermine religious or national aspirations, then just maybe it will not be such an unholy alliance after all? Meanwhile, polls or not, one can only hope and pray for a miracle which can deliver a rightful leadership that accords to our deepest wishes! 

David Bannister

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